KANSAS CITY (B)--Showers and thunderstorms have continued to occur on a frequent basis in the eastern U.S. corn belt, keeping soil moisture adequate to abundant for spring crop use.
Weather patterns are unlikely to change noticeably over the next couple of weeks, keeping Ohio, Michigan, Indiana and Kentucky in a position to produce corn favorably. Soybeans also will develop well.
Weather patterns continue to support timely rain in the eastern U.S. corn belt where soybean planting is advancing well. Most of the corn crop has been planted and early crop development has advanced swiftly because of timely showers and mild to warm temperatures.
No change in the overall weather pattern is anticipated. BridgeNews Global Weather Services does not see any persistent dry weather for areas east of either Illinois or Wisconsin.
Some decrease in rain frequency and intensity is possible, but subsoil moisture will carry plant development for up to two weeks without much trouble. GWS has not changed its outlook for the eastern Midwest to produce favorably this summer and sees no reason to veer from its earlier forecasts of the year.
No crop is made yet, but with corn planting complete and current weather patterns favorable for timely rain into early June the odds are beginning to stack up against some forecasts of lower production in the eastern Midwest because of dryness. Reproduction will come early this year with mid-June through early July the most important time for the corn crop.
That leaves plenty of time for a serious hot, dry weather pattern to develop, but it will have to start showing up in the longer-range computer weather forecast data soon to lend support to the possibility of dryness issues at corn reproduction.
Dryness issues could still develop in the eastern Midwest for the heart of summer, but by then the corn crop would be made and the potential impact would shift from corn to soybeans.
GWS is still concerned about the southwestern corn belt's soil moisture over and eventually feels crop moisture stress in parts of Kansas, Nebraska, southwestern Iowa and Missouri will harm corn yield potentials.