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Montana wheat production seen 7 percent higher than last year

Montana

Montana's all wheat production is expected to be 7 percent lower than last month's forecast but 7 percent higher than last year's crop, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture's National Agricultural Statistics Service, Montana Field Office. Based on Aug. 1 conditions, producers expect to harvest 164.1 million bushels of all wheat, up from the 153.1 million bushels harvested last year, but 12.3 million bushels below July's forecast. The area for harvest is expected to be 5.2 million acres, unchanged from last month, but 1 percent below last year. These are the last small grain forecasts until the final small grains summary is published on Sept. 28, 2007.

Winter wheat yield is expected to be 40.0 bushels per acre, down 2 bushels from July and down 3 bushels per acre from last year. Production is forecast to be 86.0 million bushels, up from 82.6 million bushels last year, but down 4.3 million bushels from July. Acreage expected to be harvested is unchanged from the July forecast, but is up 230,000 acres from last year to 2,150,000 acres. For the week ending Aug. 5, winter wheat was 86 percent harvested compared with 90 percent last year and the five-year average of 57 percent.

Spring wheat production in Montana is forecast to be 65.0 million bushels, up 2 percent from last year's production. The expected yield of 26.0 bushels per acre is down 3 bushels from last month, but up 4 bushels from last year. Dry and hot conditions during July ripened the spring wheat crop quickly. Acres for harvest are unchanged from July at 2.5 million, but down 400,000 from last year. The crop was rated higher than this time last year at 15 percent very poor, 17 percent poor, 22 percent fair, 41 percent good, and 5 percent excellent. Ninety-seven percent of the crop was turning color for the week ending Aug. 5, compared with 96 percent last year and the 5-year average of 82 percent. Harvest is underway with 22 percent complete compared with 35 percent last year and 14 percent for the five-year average. Durum wheat production is forecast to be 13.1 million bushels, up 95 percent from last year, but down 4 percent from July. The expected yield of 25.0 bushels per acre is 1 bushel below last month, but 8 bushels more than 2006. The crop was rated better than this time last year at 4 percent very poor, 18 percent poor, 17 percent fair, 61 percent good, and 0 percent excellent. Harvested acres are up 33 percent from 2006 to 525,000 acres.

Barley yields are expected to average 51.0 bushels per acre in 2007, 1 bushel above last year, but

down 3 bushels per acre from July. Barley production is forecast to be 37.2 million bushels compared with 31.0 million produced last year. Growers expect to harvest 730,000 acres, up 110,000 from 2006. For the week ending Aug. 5, barley condition was reported to be 19 percent very poor, 19 percent poor, 23 percent fair, 32 percent good, and 7 percent excellent. Harvest for the week ending Aug. 5 was reported to be 40 percent complete compared with 31 percent last year and 15 percent for the five-year average.

Oat producers expect to harvest 1.1 million bushels for grain, 2 percent lower than last year. The 2007 area for harvest is expected to be 20,000 acres, down 4,000 acres from 2006. The expected yield of 54.0 bushels per acre is 8 bushels higher than last year's yield, but down 3 bushels from July. As of Aug. 5, the condition of the oat crop was reported to be 2 percent very poor, 11 percent poor, 29 percent fair, 51 percent good, and 7 percent excellent. Harvest was 35 percent complete compared with 39 percent last year and 17 percent for the five-year average.

Beet production is forecast to be 1.2 million tons, down 10 percent from last year. The expected yield, at 25.0 tons per acre, is down 7 percent from the 27.0 tons per acre last year. Producers are expecting to harvest 47,000 acres, down 1,500 acres from last year. Dry edible bean producers expect to harvest 17,000 acres this year, down 9 percent from last year's figure, but unchanged from June. Yield is estimated at 1,800 pounds, 160 pounds per acre higher than the previous year. All dry bean production is expected to be 306,000 cwt, up 1,000 cwt from last year's figure.

Alfalfa hay in Montana is expected to yield 2.2 tons per acre in 2007, up 0.1 ton per acre from the previous year. Growers plan to harvest 1.65 million acres, up 100,000 acres from last year. Production is expected to reach 3.6 million tons, a 12 percent increase from the 2006 production figure. The average yield for other hay is forecast to be 1.6 tons per acre, up 0.1 ton per acre from last year. Production of other hay is forecast at 1.4 million tons, up 35 percent from 2006.

U.S. all wheat production, at 2.11 billion bushels, is down 1 percent from the July forecast but up 17 percent from 2006. Based on Aug. 1 conditions, the U.S. yield is forecast at 40.6 bushels per acre, down 0.1 bushel from last month but 1.9 bushels above last year. Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.54 billion bushels. This is down 2 percent from last month but 18 percent above 2006. The U.S. yield is forecast at 41.3 bushels per acre, down 0.3 bushel from last month and down 0.4 bushel from last year. The area expected to be harvested for grain totals 37.2 million acres, down 1 percent from last month but up 20 percent from last year. Hard Red Winter, at 948 million bushels, is down 2 percent from a month ago. Soft Red Winter, at 360 million bushels, is down 1 percent from the last forecast. White Winter is down 2 percent from last month and now totals 230 million bushels. Of this total, 17.8 million bushels are Hard White and 212 million bushels are Soft White.

Other spring wheat production in the United States is forecast to be 500 million bushels, up slightly from last month and 9 percent above 2006. Area harvested for grain totals 12.7 million acres, unchanged from last month but down 8 percent from last year. The U.S. yield is forecast at 39.3 bushels per acre, 0.2 bushel above last month and 6.1 bushels above 2006. Of the total production, 473 million bushels are Hard Red Spring wheat, up less than 1 percent from last month.

Durum wheat production is forecast at 76.7 million bushels, down 3 percent from July but up 43 percent from 2006. The U.S. yield is forecast at 35.5 bushels per acre, down 0.9 bushel from last month but 6.0 bushels above last year. Expected area to be harvested for grain totals 2.16 million acres, unchanged from last month but up 19 percent from last year.

Barley production for 2007 is forecast at 223 million bushels, 3 percent below last month but 24 percent above 2006. Based on conditions as of Aug. 1, the average yield for the U.S. is forecast at 63.1 bushels per acre, down 2.1 bushels from July but up 2.1 bushels from last year. Expected area to be harvested as grain or seed, at 3.54 million acres, is up 20 percent from 2006. The top 3 producing States are expected to produce 72 percent of the Nation's barley crop.

Oats production is forecast at 98.3 million bushels, 3 percent below the July 1 forecast but 5 percent above last year's record low 93.8 million bushels. Based on conditions as of Aug. 1, the yield is forecast at 61.0 bushels per acre, down 1.6 bushels from last month's forecast but up 1.5 bushels from 2006. Expected area to be harvested as grain or seed is 1.61 million acres, up 2 percent from last year.

Sugar beets production for 2007 is forecast at 29.8 million tons, down 12 percent from last year's record high 34.1 million tons. Growers expect to harvest 1.24 million acres, up 2 percent from June but down 5 percent from last year. The yield is forecast at 24.0 tons per acre, down 2.1 tons from the record high set in 2006. Compared with last year, yields are expected to decline in all States except Colorado, Washington, and Wyoming. Harvested acreage is also down in all States except Washington, where acreage remains the same.

U.S. dry edible bean production is forecast at 23.7 million cwt in 2007, down 2 percent from last year and 11 percent below two years ago. Acreage changes since the June Acreage report increased planted area less than 1 percent and harvested expectations 1 percent. Planted area is now estimated at 1.50 million acres, 8 percent below both last year and 2005. Harvested area is forecast at 1.44 million acres, down 6 percent from the last two years. The average U.S. yield is forecast at 1,649 pounds per acre, an increase of 72 pounds from last year but 97 pounds less than two years ago.

Alfalfa and alfalfa mixtures production in the United States is forecast at 69.9 million tons, down 2 percent from last year. Yields are expected to average 3.26 tons per acre, a decrease of 0.09 ton from last year. Harvested area is forecast at 21.5 million acres, unchanged from June but slightly above the previous year's acreage.

Other hay production is forecast at 75.3 million tons, up 8 percent from 2006. Based on Aug. 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 1.87 tons, up 0.09 ton from last year. Harvested area, at 40.3 million acres, is unchanged from June but up 2 percent from the previous year.

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Date: 9/6/07


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Montana wheat production seen 7 percent higher than last year
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