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U.S. Hog Inventory Up 1 Percent National Agricultural Statistics Service U.S. inventory of all hogs and pigs on March 1, 2007 was 61.1 million head. This was up 1 percent from March 1, 2006, but down 2 percent from December 1, 2006. Breeding inventory, at 6.08 million head, was up 1 percent from last year, but down slightly from the previous quarter. Market hog inventory, at 55.0 million head, was up 1 percent from last year, but down 2 percent from last quarter. The December 2006-February 2007 pig crop, at 26.1 million head, was up 2 percent from 2006 and up 3 percent from 2005. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 2.87 million head, up 1 percent from both 2006 and 2005. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 47 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was 9.08 for the December 2006-February 2007 period, compared to 9.03 last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.60 for operations with 1-99 hogs and pigs to 9.20 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs. U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.91 million sows farrow during the March-May 2007 quarter, down slightly from the actual farrowings, but up 1 percent from 2005. Intended farrowings for June-August 2007, at 2.92 million sows, are virtually unchanged from both 2006 and 2005. The total number of hogs under contract, owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted for 39 percent of the total U.S. hog inventory, unchanged from last year. Revisions All inventory and pig crop estimates for March 2006 through December 2006 were reviewed using final pig crop, official slaughter, death loss, and updated import and export data. Based on the findings of this review, small adjustments of less than one-half of one percent were made to the March 1, 2006 total inventory, September 1, 2006 total inventory, March-May 2006 pig crop and the September-November pig crop. An adjustment slightly larger than one-half of one percent was made to the June-August 2006 pig crop.
Page
Quarterly U.S. Inventory by Class and Weight Group, 2005-20071
Quarterly U.S. Sows Farrowed, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter, 2005-2007. . . . . . . . . . . . 2
Hogs and Pigs: Inventory by State and U.S., 2005-2007
March 1 . . . . . . . . . . 5
June 1 . . . . . . . . . . 7
September 1 . . . . . . . . 9
December 1 . . . . . . . .11
Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, Pig Crop by State and U.S., 2005-2007
December-February. . .13
March-May . . . . . . . . .14
June-August . . . . . . . .15
September-November. . . . .16
Monthly U.S. Farrowings, December-November 2006-200717
Reliability Statement. . . . . .18
Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Class, Weight Group,
and Quarter, United States, 2005-2007 1/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: : : :2007 as % of
Item : 2005 : 2006 : 2007 :-------------
: : : : 2005 : 2006
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: ----------- 1,000 Head ----------- Percent
:
March 1 Inventory :
All Hogs and Pigs : 59,699 60,326 61,103 102 101
Kept for Breeding : 5,941 6,025 6,081 102 101
Market : 53,757 54,301 55,022 102 101
:
Market Hogs and Pigs :
by Weight Groups :
Under 60 Pounds : 19,667 19,988 20,265 103 101
60-119 Pounds : 13,087 13,006 13,086 100 101
120-179 Pounds : 11,360 11,434 11,423 101 100
180 Pounds and Over : 9,644 9,874 10,248 106 104
:
June 1 Inventory :
All Hogs and Pigs : 60,732 61,687
Kept for Breeding : 5,977 6,060
Market : 54,754 55,627
:
Market Hogs and Pigs :
by Weight Groups :
Under 60 Pounds : 20,423 20,808
60-119 Pounds : 13,376 13,692
120-179 Pounds : 11,143 11,485
180 Pounds and Over : 9,813 9,643
:
September 1 Inventory :
All Hogs and Pigs : 61,846 62,914
Kept for Breeding : 5,972 6,079
Market : 55,873 56,835
:
Market Hogs and Pigs :
by Weight Groups :
Under 60 Pounds : 20,764 20,708
60-119 Pounds : 13,876 14,231
120-179 Pounds : 11,404 11,685
180 Pounds and Over : 9,830 10,212
:
December 1 Inventory :
All Hogs and Pigs : 61,449 62,149
Kept for Breeding : 6,011 6,088
Market : 55,438 56,061
:
Market Hogs and Pigs :
by Weight Groups :
Under 60 Pounds : 20,055 20,262
60-119 Pounds : 13,524 13,788
120-179 Pounds : 11,293 11,274
180 Pounds and Over : 10,567 10,737
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ May not add due to rounding.
Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter,
United States, 2005-2007 1/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: : : : 2007 as % of
Item : 2005 : 2006 : 2007 :---------------
: : : : 2005 : 2006
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: ------------ 1,000 Head ------------ Percent
:
Sows Farrowing :
Dec-Feb 2/ : 2,835 2,840 2,874 101 101
Mar-May 3/ : 2,882 2,927 2,913 101 100
Dec-May 2/ 4/ : 5,716 5,767 5,787 101 100
:
Jun-Aug 3/ : 2,918 2,912 2,917 100 100
Sep-Nov : 2,900 2,910
Jun-Nov : 5,818 5,823
:
Pig Crop :
Dec-Feb 2/ : 25,343 25,661 26,084 103 102
Mar-May : 25,986 26,579
Dec-May 2/ : 51,330 52,240
:
Jun-Aug : 26,449 26,518
Sep-Nov : 26,187 26,501
Jun-Nov : 52,635 53,019
:
: ------------- Number ------------- Percent
Pigs per Litter :
Dec-Feb 2/ : 8.94 9.03 9.08 102 101
Mar-May : 9.02 9.08
Dec-May 2/ : 8.98 9.06
:
Jun-Aug : 9.06 9.11
Sep-Nov : 9.03 9.11
Jun-Nov : 9.05 9.11
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ May not add due to rounding.
2/ December preceding year.
3/ Intentions for 2007.
4/ Actual farrowings for December 2006-February 2007 plus intentions for
March-May 2007.
Pigs per Litter: By Size of Operation, United States, 2006-20071/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Pigs per Litter on Operations Having
:-----------------------------------------------------------------
Pig Crop : 1-99 : 100-499 : 500-999 :1,000-1,999:2,000-4,999: 5,000+
: Head : Head : Head : Head : Head : Head
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Number
:
2006 :
Dec-Feb 2/ : 7.50 8.00 8.30 8.80 9.00 9.10
Mar-May : 7.60 8.00 8.40 8.80 9.00 9.20
Jun-Aug : 7.70 8.00 8.40 8.80 9.10 9.20
Sep-Nov : 7.70 8.00 8.40 8.80 9.10 9.20
:
2007 :
Dec-Feb 2/ : 7.60 8.00 8.40 8.80 9.00 9.20
Mar-May :
Jun-Aug :
Sep-Nov :
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Pigs per litter rounded to the nearest tenth.
2/ December preceding year.
Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory
by State and United States, March 1, 2006-2007 1/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Breeding : Market : Total
:-----------------------------------------------------------------------
: : 2007 : : 2007 : : 2007
State : :---------------: :---------------: :---------------
: 2006 : :as % of: 2006 : :as % of: 2006 : :as % of
: :Number : 2006 : :Number : 2006 : :Number : 2006
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent
:
AR : 85 85 100 185 190 103 270 275 102
CO : 150 150 100 680 660 97 830 810 98
IL : 420 440 105 3,730 3,610 97 4,150 4,050 98
IN : 310 320 103 2,790 2,830 101 3,100 3,150 102
IA : 1,100 1,080 98 15,300 15,520 101 16,400 16,600 101
KS : 165 165 100 1,565 1,675 107 1,730 1,840 106
MI : 100 110 110 860 870 101 960 980 102
MN : 580 600 103 5,820 6,200 107 6,400 6,800 106
MO : 345 360 104 2,355 2,440 104 2,700 2,800 104
NE : 355 360 101 2,545 2,640 104 2,900 3,000 103
NC : 1,020 1,020 100 8,480 8,380 99 9,500 9,400 99
OH : 160 165 103 1,380 1,535 111 1,540 1,700 110
OK : 360 360 100 1,970 1,980 101 2,330 2,340 100
PA : 100 100 100 1,010 990 98 1,110 1,090 98
SD : 155 135 87 1,285 1,205 94 1,440 1,340 93
TX : 100 100 100 830 850 102 930 950 102
WI : 50 55 110 370 375 101 420 430 102
:
Oth :
Sts 2/ : 470 476 101 3,146 3,072 98 3,616 3,548 98
:
US : 6,025 6,081 101 54,301 55,022 101 60,326 61,103 101
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ May not add due to rounding.
2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States.
Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group,
State, and United States, March 1, 2006-2007 1/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs.
: 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over
State :-----------------------------------------------------------------------
: 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: 1,000 Head
:
AR : 140 140 15 20 15 15 15 15
CO : 360 370 90 95 80 75 150 120
IL : 1,310 1,300 870 860 840 790 710 660
IN : 1,030 1,040 700 700 560 570 500 520
IA : 4,680 4,690 4,140 4,090 3,520 3,570 2,960 3,170
KS : 530 575 285 300 345 335 405 465
MI : 315 300 200 205 175 180 170 185
MN : 2,280 2,380 1,330 1,490 1,310 1,330 900 1,000
MO : 1,085 1,160 490 485 460 460 320 335
NE : 1,000 1,010 660 700 490 510 395 420
NC : 3,400 3,430 1,940 1,850 1,690 1,680 1,450 1,420
OH : 570 600 315 380 305 320 190 235
OK : 910 920 350 320 220 220 490 520
PA : 370 295 270 290 210 215 160 190
SD : 455 425 300 280 275 265 255 235
TX : 265 305 190 195 195 185 180 165
WI : 145 150 90 90 70 70 65 65
:
Oth :
Sts 2/ : 1,143 1,175 771 736 674 633 559 528
:
US : 19,988 20,265 13,006 13,086 11,434 11,423 9,874 10,248
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Weight groups may not add to Market Hogs and Pigs due to rounding. 2/
Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States.
Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory
by State and United States, June 1, 2005-2006 1/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Breeding : Market : Total
:-----------------------------------------------------------------------
: : 2006 : : 2006 : : 2006
State : :---------------: :---------------: :---------------
: 2005 : :as % of: 2005 : :as % of: 2005 : :as % of
: :Number : 2005 : :Number : 2005 : :Number : 2005
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent
:
AR : 85 85 100 205 195 95 290 280 97
CO : 140 150 107 640 690 108 780 840 108
IL : 430 430 100 3,670 3,770 103 4,100 4,200 102
IN : 300 320 107 2,800 2,880 103 3,100 3,200 103
IA : 1,070 1,080 101 15,130 15,520 103 16,200 16,600 102
KS : 155 160 103 1,535 1,680 109 1,690 1,840 109
MI : 100 100 100 810 880 109 910 980 108
MN : 600 590 98 6,000 6,210 104 6,600 6,800 103
MO : 340 350 103 2,510 2,350 94 2,850 2,700 95
NE : 355 365 103 2,445 2,585 106 2,800 2,950 105
NC : 1,020 1,020 100 8,880 8,580 97 9,900 9,600 97
OH : 160 165 103 1,420 1,455 102 1,580 1,620 103
OK : 360 360 100 2,020 2,010 100 2,380 2,370 100
PA : 100 100 100 970 1,000 103 1,070 1,100 103
SD : 145 160 110 1,255 1,310 104 1,400 1,470 105
TX : 100 105 105 830 865 104 930 970 104
WI : 50 55 110 380 375 99 430 430 100
:
Oth :
Sts 2/ : 467 465 99 3,254 3,272 101 3,722 3,737 100
:
US : 5,977 6,060 101 54,754 55,627 102 60,732 61,687 102
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ May not add due to rounding.
2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States.
Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group,
State, and United States, June 1, 2005-2006 1/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs.
: 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over
State :-----------------------------------------------------------------------
: 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: 1,000 Head
:
AR : 140 140 20 20 20 15 25 20
CO : 355 360 110 85 60 95 115 150
IL : 1,340 1,350 900 940 770 840 660 640
IN : 1,040 1,080 700 760 550 550 510 490
IA : 4,600 4,860 4,130 4,240 3,500 3,530 2,900 2,890
KS : 550 585 305 360 280 310 400 425
MI : 310 335 200 195 155 175 145 175
MN : 2,410 2,460 1,440 1,550 1,220 1,310 930 890
MO : 1,230 1,135 480 490 450 420 350 305
NE : 960 1,000 640 680 490 530 355 375
NC : 3,560 3,540 2,140 1,960 1,720 1,690 1,460 1,390
OH : 580 590 340 360 300 320 200 185
OK : 960 930 330 330 230 270 500 480
PA : 285 330 290 290 225 215 170 165
SD : 465 475 320 310 250 275 220 250
TX : 325 275 150 220 160 205 195 165
WI : 150 145 90 105 70 70 70 55
:
Oth :
Sts 2/ : 1,163 1,218 791 797 693 665 608 593
:
US : 20,423 20,808 13,376 13,692 11,143 11,485 9,813 9,643
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Weight groups may not add to Market Hogs and Pigs due to rounding. 2/
Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States.
Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory
by State and United States, September 1, 2005-2006 1/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Breeding : Market : Total
:-----------------------------------------------------------------------
: : 2006 : : 2006 : : 2006
State : :---------------: :---------------: :---------------
: 2005 : :as % of: 2005 : :as % of: 2005 : :as % of
: :Number : 2005 : :Number : 2005 : :Number : 2005
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent
:
AR : 85 85 100 200 195 98 285 280 98
CO : 145 155 107 715 695 97 860 850 99
IL : 420 440 105 3,630 3,910 108 4,050 4,350 107
IN : 300 330 110 2,800 2,970 106 3,100 3,300 106
IA : 1,080 1,080 100 15,520 15,920 103 16,600 17,000 102
KS : 155 165 106 1,565 1,755 112 1,720 1,920 112
MI : 100 100 100 830 880 106 930 980 105
MN : 600 590 98 6,200 6,310 102 6,800 6,900 101
MO : 340 355 104 2,510 2,395 95 2,850 2,750 96
NE : 350 350 100 2,450 2,650 108 2,800 3,000 107
NC : 1,020 1,010 99 9,080 8,690 96 10,100 9,700 96
OH : 160 170 106 1,400 1,500 107 1,560 1,670 107
OK : 360 360 100 2,060 2,030 99 2,420 2,390 99
PA : 95 105 111 985 1,055 107 1,080 1,160 107
SD : 140 155 111 1,240 1,335 108 1,380 1,490 108
TX : 100 100 100 890 890 100 990 990 100
WI : 50 55 110 370 375 101 420 430 102
:
Oth :
Sts 2/ : 472 474 100 3,428 3,280 96 3,901 3,754 96
:
US : 5,972 6,079 102 55,873 56,835 102 61,846 62,914 102
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ May not add due to rounding.
2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States.
Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group,
State, and United States, September 1, 2005-2006 1/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs.
: 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over
State :-----------------------------------------------------------------------
: 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: 1,000 Head
:
AR : 145 140 20 20 15 15 20 20
CO : 400 380 110 90 85 85 120 140
IL : 1,380 1,360 890 990 800 850 560 710
IN : 1,050 1,080 720 770 550 580 480 540
IA : 4,780 4,750 4,400 4,500 3,450 3,600 2,890 3,070
KS : 535 590 355 395 265 305 410 465
MI : 320 300 195 220 165 180 150 180
MN : 2,450 2,440 1,500 1,610 1,320 1,300 930 960
MO : 1,180 1,115 520 480 470 470 340 330
NE : 980 1,000 660 690 460 540 350 420
NC : 3,650 3,530 2,130 2,040 1,780 1,710 1,520 1,410
OH : 580 600 335 380 290 320 195 200
OK : 930 950 300 330 270 260 560 490
PA : 300 330 270 305 220 235 195 185
SD : 440 480 315 320 255 285 230 250
TX : 290 315 210 200 195 190 195 185
WI : 145 145 90 90 70 75 65 65
:
Oth :
Sts 2/ : 1,209 1,203 856 801 744 685 620 592
:
US : 20,764 20,708 13,876 14,231 11,404 11,685 9,830 10,212
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Weight groups may not add to Market Hogs and Pigs due to rounding. 2/
Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States.
Hogs and Pigs: Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory
by State and United States, December 1, 2005-2006 1/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Breeding : Market : Total
:-----------------------------------------------------------------------
: : 2006 : : 2006 : : 2006
State : :---------------: :---------------: :---------------
: 2005 : :as % of: 2005 : :as % of: 2005 : :as % of
: :Number : 2005 : :Number : 2005 : :Number : 2005
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent
:
AR : 85 85 100 185 175 95 270 260 96
CO : 145 155 107 705 675 96 850 830 98
IL : 430 440 102 3,570 3,760 105 4,000 4,200 105
IN : 310 330 106 2,940 2,970 101 3,250 3,300 102
IA : 1,070 1,080 101 15,530 16,120 104 16,600 17,200 104
KS : 160 170 106 1,630 1,670 102 1,790 1,840 103
MI : 100 110 110 860 890 103 960 1,000 104
MN : 590 590 100 6,010 6,210 103 6,600 6,800 103
MO : 345 360 104 2,355 2,390 101 2,700 2,750 102
NE : 350 365 104 2,500 2,635 105 2,850 3,000 105
NC : 1,010 1,010 100 8,790 8,490 97 9,800 9,500 97
OH : 165 170 103 1,395 1,510 108 1,560 1,680 108
OK : 360 350 97 2,010 1,980 99 2,370 2,330 98
PA : 100 105 105 1,000 965 97 1,100 1,070 97
SD : 165 140 85 1,325 1,190 90 1,490 1,330 89
TX : 100 95 95 830 835 101 930 930 100
WI : 55 55 100 375 385 103 430 440 102
:
Oth :
Sts 2/ : 471 478 101 3,428 3,211 94 3,899 3,689 95
:
US : 6,011 6,088 101 55,438 56,061 101 61,449 62,149 101
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ May not add due to rounding.
2/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States.
Market Hogs and Pigs: Inventory Number by Weight Group,
State, and United States, December 1, 2005-2006 1/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Under : 60-119 : 120-179 : 180 Lbs.
: 60 Lbs. : Lbs. : Lbs. : and Over
State :-----------------------------------------------------------------------
: 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : 2005 : 2006
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: 1,000 Head
:
AR : 130 125 20 15 15 15 20 20
CO : 390 370 95 80 85 85 135 140
IL : 1,300 1,270 860 970 740 800 670 720
IN : 1,060 1,090 730 740 560 580 590 560
IA : 4,610 4,850 4,180 4,420 3,520 3,560 3,220 3,290
KS : 570 560 315 320 315 310 430 480
MI : 315 300 205 230 175 170 165 190
MN : 2,320 2,350 1,460 1,510 1,200 1,250 1,030 1,100
MO : 1,105 1,100 480 470 450 475 320 345
NE : 980 1,010 660 700 470 500 390 425
NC : 3,450 3,390 2,130 1,970 1,720 1,680 1,490 1,450
OH : 550 590 330 360 295 305 220 255
OK : 920 900 320 340 240 240 530 500
PA : 310 290 280 300 215 185 195 190
SD : 450 435 325 280 290 230 260 245
TX : 270 270 195 200 180 185 185 180
WI : 150 155 85 90 75 70 65 70
:
Oth :
Sts 2/ : 1,175 1,207 854 793 748 634 652 577
:
US : 20,055 20,262 13,524 13,788 11,293 11,274 10,567 10,737
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Weight groups may not add to Market Hogs and Pigs due to rounding. 2/
Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States.
Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop
by State and United States, December-February 2006-2007 1/ 2/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 3/
:--------------------------: Pigs :--------------------------
: : 2007 : per Litter : : 2007
State : :-----------------------------------: :-----------------
: 2006 : :as % of : : : 2006 : :as % of
: : Number : 2006 : 2006 : 2007 : : Number : 2006
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent
:
AR : 41 39 95 9.50 9.20 390 359 92
CO : 81 83 102 8.80 8.80 713 730 102
IL : 195 205 105 9.00 9.05 1,755 1,855 106
IN : 130 140 108 8.90 8.80 1,157 1,232 106
IA : 455 445 98 9.00 9.00 4,095 4,005 98
KS : 84 87 104 8.85 8.90 743 774 104
MI : 48 48 100 9.30 8.75 446 420 94
MN : 270 275 102 9.10 9.25 2,457 2,544 104
MO : 165 175 106 9.00 9.05 1,485 1,584 107
NE : 175 175 100 9.15 9.20 1,601 1,610 101
NC : 540 540 100 9.10 9.10 4,914 4,914 100
OH : 77 83 108 9.10 9.15 701 759 108
OK : 185 190 103 8.70 9.10 1,610 1,729 107
PA : 47 43 91 9.90 9.00 465 387 83
SD : 77 65 84 9.40 9.50 724 618 85
TX : 42 45 107 8.60 8.90 361 401 111
WI : 26 27 104 8.55 8.95 222 242 109
:
Oth :
Sts 4/ : 202 209 103 9.00 9.20 1,822 1,921 105
:
US : 2,840 2,874 101 9.03 9.08 25,661 26,084 102
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ May not add due to rounding.
2/ December preceding year.
3/ Number of pigs born December-February that were still on hand March 1,
or had been sold.
4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States.
Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop
by State and United States, March-May 2005-2007 1/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/
:-------------------------------: Pigs :-----------------------
: : : 2007 3/ : per Litter : : 2006
State : : :-------------------------------: :---------------
: 2005 : 2006 : :as % of: : : 2005 : :as % of
: : :Number : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : :Number : 2005
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent
:
AR : 42 41 41 100 9.70 9.60 407 394 97
CO : 77 81 83 102 8.80 8.90 678 721 106
IL : 210 210 210 100 8.95 9.05 1,880 1,901 101
IN : 135 135 140 104 8.85 8.90 1,195 1,202 101
IA : 440 465 470 101 9.05 8.95 3,982 4,162 105
KS : 83 84 89 106 8.80 9.10 730 764 105
MI : 45 47 52 111 9.00 9.20 405 432 107
MN : 290 280 275 98 9.15 9.30 2,654 2,604 98
MO : 170 170 180 106 9.10 9.10 1,547 1,547 100
NE : 175 180 175 97 9.05 9.15 1,584 1,647 104
NC : 550 550 540 98 8.90 9.10 4,895 5,005 102
OH : 77 82 81 99 9.00 9.00 693 738 106
OK : 190 185 180 97 8.90 8.90 1,691 1,647 97
PA : 47 47 46 98 9.10 9.10 428 428 100
SD : 75 84 69 82 9.30 9.35 698 785 112
TX : 45 47 48 102 9.40 9.25 423 435 103
WI : 25 27 26 96 8.75 8.70 219 235 107
:
Oth :
Sts 4/ : 206 212 208 98 9.13 9.11 1,877 1,932 103
:
US : 2,882 2,927 2,913 100 9.02 9.08 25,986 26,579 102
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ May not add due to rounding.
2/ Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1, or had
been sold.
3/ Intentions.
4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States.
Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop
by State and United States, June-August 2005-2007 1/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/
:-------------------------------: Pigs :-----------------------
: : : 2007 3/ : per Litter : : 2006
State : : :-------------------------------: :---------------
: 2005 : 2006 : :as % of: : : 2005 : :as % of
: : :Number : 2006 : 2005 : 2006 : :Number : 2005
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: ----- 1,000 Head ---- Percent -- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent
:
AR : 44 40 39 98 9.60 9.70 422 388 92
CO : 81 82 83 101 8.80 9.00 713 738 104
IL : 205 200 210 105 8.90 9.05 1,825 1,810 99
IN : 140 140 145 104 8.90 8.95 1,246 1,253 101
IA : 460 455 470 103 9.00 9.05 4,140 4,118 99
KS : 83 85 89 105 8.80 8.75 730 744 102
MI : 48 48 49 102 9.25 9.15 444 439 99
MN : 280 280 280 100 9.30 9.25 2,604 2,590 99
MO : 170 170 170 100 9.05 9.05 1,539 1,539 100
NE : 175 175 175 100 9.05 9.15 1,584 1,601 101
NC : 560 560 550 98 9.10 9.10 5,096 5,096 100
OH : 78 84 82 98 9.10 9.15 710 769 108
OK : 200 190 180 95 8.90 9.00 1,780 1,710 96
PA : 47 45 46 102 9.40 8.80 442 396 90
SD : 71 77 65 84 9.40 9.40 667 724 109
TX : 45 48 50 104 9.10 9.60 410 461 112
WI : 25 26 26 100 8.70 8.80 218 229 105
:
Oth :
Sts 4/ : 206 207 208 101 9.12 9.24 1,879 1,913 102
:
US : 2,918 2,912 2,917 100 9.06 9.11 26,449 26,518 100
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ May not add due to rounding.
2/ Number of pigs born June-August that were still on hand September 1, or
had been sold.
3/ Intentions.
4/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 other States.
Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop
by State and United States, September-November 2005-2006 1/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Sows Farrowing : : Pig Crop 2/
:--------------------------: Pigs :--------------------------
: : 2006 : per Litter : : 2006
State : :-----------------------------------: :-----------------
: 2005 : :as % of : : : 2005 : :as % of
: : Number : 2005 : 2005 : 2006 : : Number : 2005
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: 1,000 Head Percent --- Number -- 1,000 Head Percent
:
AR : 42 37 88 9.70 9.75 407 361 89
CO : 81 84 104 8.80 8.80 713 739 104
IL : 200 210 105 8.85 9.10 1,770 1,911 108
IN : 135 140 104 9.00 8.90 1,215 1,246 103
IA : 455 465 102 9.00 9.05 4,095 4,208 103
KS : 84 87 104 8.70 8.85 731 770 105
MI : 47 50 106 9.20 8.95 432 448 104
MN : 280 275 98 9.25 9.30 2,590 2,558 99
MO : 175 170 97 8.95 9.00 1,566 1,530 98
NE : 175 180 103 9.05 9.25 1,584 1,665 105
NC : 550 550 100 9.00 9.15 4,950 5,033 102
OH : 81 83 102 9.10 9.20 737 764 104
OK : 190 185 97 8.90 9.00 1,691 1,665 98
PA : 47 43 91 9.80 9.00 461 387 84
SD : 81 70 86 9.30 9.45 753 662 88
TX : 44 44 100 8.90 8.95 392 394 101
WI : 27 28 104 8.65 8.90 234 249 106
:
Oth :
Sts 3/ : 206 209 101 9.04 9.13 1,866 1,911 102
:
US : 2,900 2,910 100 9.03 9.11 26,187 26,501 101
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ May not add due to rounding.
2/ Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December
1, or had been sold.
3/ Individual State estimates not available for the 33 Other States.
Monthly Farrowings: Number of Sows, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop,
United States, December-November 2006-2007 1/ 2/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Sows Farrowing : Pigs per Litter : Pig Crop
Month :-----------------------------------------------------------------------
: 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007 : 2006 : 2007
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: --- 1,000 Head -- ---- Number ---- --- 1,000 Head ---
:
Dec 1/ : 937 948 8.98 9.05 8,411 8,578
Jan : 952 965 9.08 9.09 8,646 8,776
Feb : 951 961 9.05 9.08 8,605 8,730
Mar : 984 9.04 8,898
Apr : 969 9.07 8,788
May : 974 9.13 8,893
Jun : 973 9.10 8,856
Jul : 965 9.10 8,780
Aug : 974 9.12 8,882
Sep : 987 9.10 8,986
Oct : 972 9.12 8,863
Nov : 951 9.10 8,652
:
Total : 11,590 9.08 105,259
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ December preceding year.
2/ Monthly values may not add to quarterly or annual totals due to
rounding.
Reliability of March 1 Hogs and Pigs Estimates
Survey Procedures: A random sample of roughly 9,300 U.S.
producers was surveyed to provide data for these estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the survey. Large producers were sampled more heavily than small operations. During the first half of March, data were collected from about 7,350 operations, 79 percent of the total sample. The data collected were received by electronic data reporting (EDR), mail, telephone, and face-to-face personal interviews. Regardless of when operations responded, they were asked to report inventories as of March 1.
Estimation Procedures: These hogs and pigs estimates were
prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by each field office.
National and State survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with the previous inventory estimate, adds the estimates of births and imports, and subtracts the estimates of slaughter, exports, and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for reasonableness.
Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to
improve quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In December, estimates for all quarters of the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture five-year census of agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date.
Reliability: Since all operations raising hogs are not included
in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The affects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness.
To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory estimates over the past 20 quarters is 0.9 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of 61.1 million head by more than 0.9 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the difference will not exceed 1.5 percent.
Reliability of March 1 Hog Estimates 1/
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: : : Difference Between : Quarters
: Root : 90% : First and Latest :---------------
: Mean : Confidence : Estimates : First : First
Item :Square : Level :-------------------------: Above : Below
: Error : :Average:Smallest:Largest :Latest :Latest
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
: Percent --------- 1,000 Head --------- Number
:
All Hogs & : 0.9 1.5 917 423 0 1,386 2 17
Pigs :
:
Pig Crop : 1.2 2.0 522 228 7 824 3 17
:
Expected :
Farrowings :
:
Next :
Quarter : 1.2 2.1 61 30 7 91 7 13
:
Following :
Quarter : 1.7 2.9 85 39 2 126 8 12
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1/ Based on quarterly records for the past 20 quarters.
Information Contacts
Listed below are the commodity specialists in the livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information.
Dan Kerestes, Chief, livestock Branch(202) 720-3570
livestock Section
William Weaver, Head, livestock Section (202) 720-3570
Bruce Boess - Hogs and Pigs(202) 720-3106
Shawn Clark - Dairy Products(202) 690-3236
Jason Hardegree - Milk Production and Milk Cows(202) 720-3278
Scott Hollis - Sheep & Lambs, Goats(202) 720-4751
Mike Miller - Cattle, Cattle on Feed(202) 720-3040
Benita Hodge - livestock Slaughter(515) 284-4340
Charmaine Wilson - Dairy Products Prices(202) 690-2168
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