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U.S. winter Wheat production down one percent

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Winter Wheat production is forecast at 1.53 billion bushels, down one percent from the May 1 forecast and 10 percent below 2003. Based on June 1 conditions, the U.S. yield is forecast at 43.6 bushels per acre, down 0.6 bushel from the previous forecast. Grain area totals 35.1 million acres, unchanged from May 1. Hard Red production is down three percent from a month ago to 887 million bushels. Soft Red is down less than one percent from last month, and now totals 397 million bushels. White production totals 247 million bushels, up two percent from last month. Forecasted head counts from the Objective Yield surveys in the six Hard Red Winter states (Colorado, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, Oklahoma, and Texas) are below last year's final counts. Indicated average head weights are also below last year's level in Colorado, Kansas, and Nebraska.

Harvest was in full swing in both Texas and Oklahoma, with progress in Oklahoma running well ahead of the five-year average. In Kansas and Nebraska, yield prospects have been dampened by continued dry weather, as well as extreme temperatures, both high and low.

Date: 6/14/04


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